There have been five College Football Playoffs. Alabama has been in every one of them, arriving at four title games and winning two national titles.
Possibly twice was Alabama unbeaten when the season finisher board chosen it to the four-group field. The three different occasions, it had a misfortune. In 2017, the Tide didn’t win the SEC West and still got picked at 11-1.
That is the edge for mistake Alabama appreciates/earned/merits.
Just it may not exist this year.
The 8-0, third-positioned Crimson Tide have the 8-0, second-positioned LSU Tigers on Saturday in Tuscaloosa.
It’s not only a major event. This time it’s probable an unquestionable requirement win for Alabama’s season finisher trusts.
Timetable and conditions have left Alabama with no wellbeing net. Lose to LSU at home and notwithstanding a great deal of falls around the nation, Nick Saban’s group could be out. They could hear the admonition chimes ringing Tuesday when the principal season finisher rankings were discharged.
Board of trustees executive Rob Mullens noticed that Alabama was profoundly respected not on account of who the Tide beat — a Texas A&M group that was positioned 24th at the opening shot is apparently its best win — however notwithstanding it, to be specific that it’s looked great against a blah plan.
“Alabama is No. 3 because committee members are impressed with its overall performance and quality of play on both sides of the ball,” said Mullens, who is Oregon’s athletic chief.
For ‘Bama this is about the eye test, not a solid list of qualifications brimming with quality successes. What’s more, that implies a misfortune, which is nearly by definition appalling to the eye, turns out to be much increasingly risky.
Alabama can’t point to a solid calendar to battle any misfortunes. There is next to no there, in any event up until now.
The SEC West hasn’t delivered the gauntlet of intense groups as it has in years past. That A&M squad is currently unranked. Alabama’s huge non-gathering game was against Duke, which is 4-4. The association hybrid game was, as usual, against Tennessee, which is 4-5.
It’s a long ways from past seasons.
In 2014, Alabama vanquished six groups positioned at the opening shot and won the SEC, to cause the CFP in spite of losing to then-To no. 11 Ole Miss. In 2015, it beat six groups positioned at the opening shot, including No. 2 LSU, and won the SEC to balance another misfortune to Mississippi.
In 2017, it vanquished three groups positioned at the hour of the opening shot to limit a misfortune at then-No. 6 Auburn regardless of Alabama not by any means winning its division.
In both 2016 and 2018, the Tide were unbeaten and entered the last end of the week in such a directing position they could probably have lost in the SEC title game and still been picked in the main four. In 2016, it crushed seven groups positioned at the hour of the opening shot before smoking No. 15 Florida in that SEC title game.
It makes LSU on Saturday a significantly greater arrangement. Beat the Tigers and what Alabama has left staying on the calendar is a street game at current No. 12 Auburn, at that point a presumable SEC title game against current No. 7 Georgia.
Lose to the Tigers, however, and LSU has within track to Atlanta — it would need to lose multiple times while confronting Ole Miss, Arkansas and A&M. That is hard to comprehend.
All things considered, Alabama would be left with simply the Auburn game to present its defense. Reddish-brown is a decent rival, yet it as of now has two misfortunes (to LSU and Florida) and still should play Georgia. The nature of that success could be disputable by determination Sunday.
The council recognized to such an extent, in any event, taking note of No. 4 Penn State most likely had a superior list of references up until now and the main reason the Tide is positioned over the Nittany Lions is what they looked like while winning.
“I think at the end of the day, when the committee watched Alabama, what they saw is a team that’s being dominant against that schedule, and that was the difference between Alabama and Penn State,” Mullens said. “Clearly we observe every one of the games and see the information, and what you see when you watch Alabama is clearly extraordinary playmakers.
“They’ve been dominant against their schedule, and while it may not be as strong as some others, when you watch the games, they certainly have been dominant.”
What’s more, in the event that they aren’t prevailing?
On the other hand, LSU may approve of a misfortune in Tuscaloosa, particularly a nearby one. For one thing, it’s out and about. Second, the Tigers effectively possess prevails upon Auburn, Florida and at a Texas group that could work its way once again into the rankings. On the off chance that there will be a 11-1 non-division champion SEC section this year … it’s LSU, not Bama.
Scratch Saban won’t recognize to such an extent, since he astutely doesn’t recognize quite a bit of anything.
“Look, I didn’t even look at the college football rankings,” Saban said. “I don’t even know what we were ranked. It’s not going to matter if we don’t win the games that we play.”
Saban is directly about that, this year like never before.